42 open experiments
Experiments.
Each one is based on published research and takes a few rounds; most last two or three minutes. At the end you compare your answer with the crowd and read the science behind the finding. Play again as often as you like.
The Linda problem
Linda, Bill, and a health survey: across four short scenarios, will your intuition win, or the simplest rule of probability?
The coin-flip bet
Tails, you lose 100 TL; heads, you win more. How much does the gain have to outweigh the loss before you take a bet?
Two frames, one decision
Same numbers, different words. Are the numbers making your decision, or the way they are told?
The bat and the ball
Seven questions that look easy. The real trap is that they look easy.
Three doors
Three doors, one car, two goats. First a single game, then 10 quick games and 100 doors: test for yourself the question that has infuriated even mathematicians.
How sure are you?
Ten questions, and for each one a lower and upper bound you are 90 percent sure about. We measure not what you know, but how well you know what you don't know.
The wheel and the guess
First the wheel spins, then you estimate. The wheel's number has nothing to do with the answer; but is your estimate really unaware of it?